Sunday, December 15, 2013

NFL week 15 - Teaser Time

Vegas is always right.  They know exactly what they are doing with each and every point spread that hits the board.  However, if things fall wrong in week 15 this could be a blood-bath for books everywhere.

If I had a dollar for every 6 point teaser that is played tomorrow I would never have to work again.  For the rookies out there a 6 point teaser is when you pick a minimum of 2 (6 point teasers can be played with as many teams as you want with escalating odds) teams and move that teams line 6 points in one direction or the other.  In order to get the bet right both teams must cover.

Lets take a look at the juicy options for tomorrow...the numbers I post will be with the line teased 6 points.

Falcons pk vs Redskins
49ers pk @ Bucs
Seahawks -1 @ Giants
Eagles -1/2 @ Vikings
Saints -1/2 @ Rams
Chiefs pk @ Raiders
Cowboys -1/2 vs Packers

I am sure there will be someone somewhere who plays all 7 of these as one teaser.  A 7 team 6 point teaser pays approx +900 odds.  So for the guy that throws down $100 on this too good to be true option would win $900 dollars.  This surely won't happen but I guarantee that combinations of these teams will be showing up on plenty of 2/3/4 team 6 point teasers.

Confidence meter on these 7 games
1. Chiefs - Should be energized with new life after seeing their hopes for AFC West come back to life with Denver losing Thursday night.

2. Eagles - Same thing with the Cowboys losing on MNF.  They are in the heat of a division race and I can't see them slipping up vs a potentially Adrian Petersonless Vikings

3. 49ers - 2nd best team in the NFC starting to play some good ball.  That defense vs Glennon should be enough.

4. Seahawks - Best team in the NFC.  The loss in SF last week should serve as a wake up call

5. Falcons - Skins are a mess I could see this team quitting if they get behind early

I actually like the first 5 of this and might throw a few bucks on it just for sport....a 5 team pays +400

6. Cowboys - Can't trust that defense even against Flynn.

7. Saints - On the road, in a dome but rams have been tough.

There aren't many days that Vegas books lose money, but if 1 or 2 of these teams don't lose there are going to be a lot of tickets getting cashed...














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